Since the SAG, DGA, WGA, Golden Globe, and all critic awards has been annouce . it’s a time for me to make my guess.

Best Picture
1. Brokeback Mountain
2. Good Night, And Good Luck
3. Walk the Line
4. Crash
5. The Squid & The Whale
Still has a chance: Capote, Munich, The Constant Gardener, and A History of Violence

Best Director
(I belive all DGA Nominees will get it)
1. Ang Lee
2. George Clooney, Good Night, And Good Luck
3. Paul Haggis, Crash
4. Bennett Miller, Capote
5. Steven Spielberg, Munich

Don’t count out James Mangold, Walk the Line Fernando Meirelles, The Constant Gardener David Cronenberg, A History of Violence

Best actor

I’m pretty sure all SAG nominees (Philip Seymour Hoffman, Heath Ledger, Joaquin Phoenix, David Strathairn) will make the cut except for Crowe but I’m still picking Crowe

Don't Count Out: Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow he might be the one who upset Crowe

Best Actress

Also believe that all SAG Nominee (Reese Whiterspoon, Walk the Line Felicity Huffman, Transamerica Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents Charlize Theron, North Country) will make the cut but Keira Knightley might upset Ziyi Zhang

Best Supporting Actor
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man George Clooney, Syriana Matt Dillon, Crash Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain Bob Hoskins, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Best Supporting Actress

Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener Catherine Keener, Capote Frances McDormand, North Country Scarlett Johansson, Match Point (chance has been cut since no SAG nom.)
I still hope Scarrlett woluld make the cut but I think Hollywood just hates her